We’re less than 2 days out from the South Carolina primary and anyone who thinks Joe Biden is NOT gonna win the primary there BIG should have their heads examined…
Biden needs this….
It will allow him to move into second place in the delegate race for the Democratic nomination race close behind Sanders…
For Biden and moderate /establishment Democrats?
Can Joe Biden pick up enough Black voters and others move back into the lead they want for him to get the nomination?…
By the way?
Tom Steyer is right in there in South Carolina…
Joe Biden stays well atop the field in South Carolina, according to the third Monmouth (“Mon-muth”) University Poll of likely Democratic primary voters there. Tom Steyer and Bernie Sanders are fighting for the second spot. Biden’s wide lead in the poll is underpinned by solid support among black voters in the state.
Among South Carolina voters who are likely to participate in the Democratic primary on Saturday, support currently stands at 36% for Biden, 16% for Sanders, and 15% for Steyer. Candidates who currently fall below the statewide delegate viability threshold include Elizabeth Warren (8%), Pete Buttigieg (6%), Amy Klobuchar (4%), and Tulsi Gabbard (1%). Another 15% of likely primary voters remain undecided and do not lean toward any candidate at this time. In Monmouth’s October poll, 33% supported Biden, 16% Warren, and 12% Sanders. It should be noted that interviews for the current poll were conducted after the Nevada caucuses, wrapping up right before Tuesday night’s debate.
“Biden appears to be holding on to his core support among African Americans in South Carolina. The recent endorsement by Rep. James Clyburn should help solidify that,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.
Black voters, who form a majority of the likely primary electorate, back Biden (45%) by a wide margin over Steyer (17%) and Sanders (13%). White voters are more divided, with Biden (26%) followed by Sanders (17%), Warren (13%), Buttigieg (13%), and Steyer (12%). Among those who identify themselves as Democrats, 44% back Biden, followed by Sanders (15%) and Steyer (14%), while those who are independent or identify with another party are divided among Biden (22%), Sanders (18%), Steyer (15%), and Warren (11%).
Just over 4 in 10 likely South Carolina Democratic primary voters are set on their candidate choice, including 39% who say they are firmly decided and another 4% who have already voted by absentee ballot. Biden (59%) and Sanders (57%) are the most likely to have their support locked in. Less than half of those backing other candidates are firmly decided.
“A key metric for Biden in this make-or-break state is that his support appears to be firm. There is still a large chunk of the electorate who are undecided, but they are mainly moderate black voters. That’s a group that tends to like Biden,” said Murray….
Image…NYPost.Com
jamesb says
I think ur right CG….
Too Bullish?….
But if the polls keep coming in the next 24 hours for a Biden blowout?
…
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Meanwhile in SOUTH CAROLINA, which looked like a near-tie after NH, we’ve suddenly got polls showing Biden up 7, 15, 18, 20 and 28 points, the latter of which is the most recent and shows him sweeping 100% of delegates.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/south-carolina/
jamesb says
THAT WOULD put Joe Bide BACK in the delegate LEAD going into Super Tuesday and would force the media to actually write some POSITIVE things about Biden….
Image THAT?
Biden going into Super Tuesday with a BOUNCE and all them Southern States!
Heck?
Biden might still have a chance to close on Sanders in California …
He’s probably gonna take Texas…
Yea CG…
I’m feeling pretty good right now…
All this Biden positive will bring him a fresh round of money…
People are ALREADY speaking about the Super Delegates and Biden vs Sanders
Media editor’s don’t want to give their vibe/narritive yet….
But a Biden BLOW out win WILl change things…
CG says
You are setting yourself up to be disappointed again.
Even if Biden does very well in SC which he might (though I very much doubt he will sweep all delegates) he is going nowhere unless he can start raising money. He also has to hope that Bloomberg decides that running for President himself is too much trouble and he gets out. That seems unlikely now too.
The one path I see for Biden actually getting nominated is as a compromise candidate after many ballots in Milwaukee. If it comes to that, the Bernie Bros will go on a rampage.