Ok?
My figuring is completely un-TECHNICAL….
But here goes….
Joe Biden is on his way to win in South Carolina in a few days…
That win could get him a bounce in the Southern states primaries on Super Tuesday where the RCP average show him ahead mostly…
California looks like a Sanders win…
But if you add up most the Southern States where Sanders might now even hit the 15% and Texas where Biden could get a week win?
Bernie Sanders is NOW coming under HEAVY political attack from Republicans AND his fellow nomination members even though he is supported strongly in social media which plays to his young supporters…
Coming out of Super Tuesday Biden WILL knock Buttigieg out of a second place for sure and should trail Sanders closely of even lead by a few delegates ….
I go with Nate Silver and other’s like Wasserman who feel that Sanders under performs with Black voters and Biden over performs with them….
I very well could be very wrong…
Or?
I could be closer to the results after the dust clears on next Wednesday….
No matter what?
I would thing that race is over for Elizabeth Warren, Amy Klobuchar and even Buttigieg by the end of next week….
THAT would leave just Sanders, Biden, Steyer and Bloomberg running….
THAT could benefit Sanders, but more so Biden with moderates?
We’ll see won’t we?
image…thehill.com
Sanders is hitting 15 % in every state in the nation. Sanders is hitting 15% in every Congressional district in the nation. Not even a question.
I agree with the pundits that state that Sanders UNDER PERFORMS with Black voters as he did in Nevada, NH and Iowa….
Again?
We’ll see how the actual vote goes…
Will it be Nevada like or more like a 2016 rerun?
And Sanders way overperformed with Hispanic voters where he seems to have made significant gains and will bode well for him in California and Texas. Sanders also does have much black support. (There are not really enough black voters in NH to speak of. In Iowa, Sanders was second among black voters.)
The black vote is not monolithic among Democrats. In SC it might be more rural, older, and yes more conservative than the black vote in large cities.
But the bottomline is that Sanders has a national base and there is nowhere in America where he would be held under 15% in a Democrat primary or Caucus.
Hahahahaha!
I’m Happy I made ya laugh Jack!
You often make me laugh.
This was one of the better ones though.
In my view, absent a medical emergency? Bernie Sanders is almost certain to arrive at the convention with the most delegates.
The serious question right now ( leaving aside your absurd post ) is ,Will there be enough votes for other candidates to deprive him of a first ballot victory?