Bernie Sanders had his Latino’s in his Nevada win….
Joe Biden had his Black voters….
Biden called a second place finish…..
THAT IS what he got….
For the last 24 hours the pundits have been falling all over themselves declaring Bernie Sanders the Democratic Party second coming….
Maybe…..
Maybe NOT…..
Starting with South Carolina in 5 days….
Joe Biden that may be a enormous help to his winning margin in South Carolina….
And endorsement by the state senior influence Black lawmaker….Rep. Jim Clyburn…
Biden HAS had his lead continue in the state over Bernie Sanders split by younger Blacks moving to Bernie Sanders and older Blacks staying with Biden….
Steyer had gained in earlier polls….
But Sanders has pasted him …..
Joe Biden IS expected to win this coming Saturday….
Super Tuesday will be just 3 days after a possible Biden win in South Carolina….
But his margin will be looked at for clues to his strength in other Southern States on Super Tuesday that he would need wins in to overtake Bernie Sanders lead in the Democratic Presidential nomination race…..
Former Vice President Joe Biden — once the national frontrunner in the 2020 Democratic primary — may have come in second behind Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) in the Nevada caucuses, but he still has one thing going for him: the support of black voters.
Biden trailed Sanders — who, with more than 60 percent of precincts reporting, appears to have won big with about 40 percent of the vote — as the state’s second-place finisher with about 19 percent of the votes. Biden’s currently projected to win two delegates from the caucuses.
According to early entrance polls from the Washington Post, the former vice president came in second with Latino voters, with 17 percent support among that group and tied with Sen. Amy Klobuchar and Sen. Elizabeth Warren for third place with white voters at 14 percent.
But the entrance polls show there was one thing Biden was right about when talking about his coalition in Nevada ahead of the caucuses: his strong lead with black voters. Biden received the most black votes, 39 percent. It’s a demographic with which Sanders trailed the former vice president, winning 27 percent of that vote. This suggests that although other candidates are slowly chipping away at his black voter base — most recently, Mike Bloomberg has seen a rise in black support — Biden remains a popular candidate among the demographic….
On the Clyburn coming endorsement….
House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn, who wields enormous influence in his home state of South Carolina, is planning to endorse Joe Biden on Wednesday, multiple sources with knowledge of the Democrat’s plans told POLITICO.
The planned endorsement is expected three days ahead of the state’s Saturday primary, giving Biden an important boost in a state that will likely determine the fate of his candidacy. Clyburn, the highest ranking African American in Congress, has long been close with Biden and has been open about his affinity for the former vice president during the Democratic primary….
top image….Ethan Miller/Getty
bottom image…breitbart
Biden’s second place is far, far behind Sanders; in fact the 2nd, 3rd &4th place candidates together have fewer votes than Sanders.
36 delegates in Nevada
[RACE CALLED]
87.55% precincts reporting
Candidate
13 Delegates added
12,981 Votes
100% Percent of vote
Bernie Sanders
11
6,120
47.2%
Joe Biden
2
2,723
21.0%
Pete Buttigieg
0
1,772
13.7%
Elizabeth Warren
0
1,243
9.6%
Tom Steyer
0
604
4.7%
Amy Klobuchar
0
506
3.9%
Andrew Yang
0
5
0.04%
John Delaney
0
5
0.04%
Michael Bennet
0
2
0.02%
Deval Patrick
0
1
0.01%
0 votes for Michael Bloomberg [not on ballot], Tulsi Gabbard, Cory Booker & Marianne Williamson.
Subtotals:
Bernie Sanders
11
6,120
47.2%
Biden + Buttigieg + Warren
2
5,738
44.2%
Steyer + Klobuchar
0
1,110
8.6%
Yang + Delaney + Bennet + Patrick
0
13
0.1%
This might be enough to push Biden over.
It comes at a good time ,five days before the vote.
Clyburn is the Grandfather of Black politicians in SC and his voice is widely respected among Black voters here.
96.23% precincts reporting
Candidate
20 Delegates added
14,067 Votes
100.0% Percent of vote
Bernie Sanders
14 delegates
6,589 votes
46.84% percent of votes
Joe Biden
4
2,872
20.4%
Pete Buttigieg
2
1,960
13.9%
Elizabeth Warren
0
1,381
9.8%
Tom Steyer
0
652
4.6%
Amy Klobuchar
0.00%
595
4.2%
Andrew Yang
0.0%
5
0.04%
John Delaney
0
5
0.04%
Michael Bennet
0
2
0.01%
Deval Patrick
0
1
0.01%
Other candidates
0
5
0.04%
Subtotals
Bernie Sanders
14 delegates
6,589 votes
46.8% percent of vote
Biden + Buttigieg + Warren
6
6,213
44.2%
Steyer + Klobuchar
0
1,247
8.9%
all others
0
18
0.1%
Thank You DSD…..
NY Times and RCP with 96.2% in give the delegates spread as…
Sanders…14
Biden ….4
Buttigieg..2
Joe Biden has less than half of Sanders’ Nevada vote
Pete Buttigieg has less than one third
Elizabeth Warren has about one fifth of Sanders’ vote
Tom Steyer and Amy Klobuchar each have about half of Elizabeth Warren’s vote and less than one tenth of Bernie Sanders’
Detailed county-by-county results for Nevada (CNN) here:
https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/state/nevada
Fortunately, Nevada has a relatively digestible number of counties (including the cow counties), so this doesn’t require the tiresome study and attention demanded by, e.g., Iowa (100 counties) or Texas (264). (California has 58 counties and New York 62.)
Unfortunately, CNN gives only percentages, so it’s hard to judge by eyeball inspection which counties besides Washoe (Reno), Douglas (Carson City) and Clark (Las Vegas) are significant, or which counties include towns like Elko or Sparks.
PPP (D) has a new post Nevada poll now showing Biden with a 15 point lead over Sanders. Nobody else is in double digits.
Either they are embarrassingly off, or indeed the panic is setting in and the Empire Is Striking Back.
Could be a happy night for the NeverBernie crowd on Saturday, but Bernie Bros will huddle with Yoda and seek for a quick strike back on Super Tuesday on their favorable turf.
Noah Pransky
Only 44% of adults 18-29 knew Bernie Sanders won Nevada, according to new @MorningConsult poll.
Young voters may be engaged like never before, but the bar has been very low…and they still don’t vote at rates anywhere near their 65+ Boomer counterparts.
morningconsult.com/wp-content/upl…
PPP IS a Democratic house…
We’ll need more polls…
But Democrats NEED to WTF up or Bernie WILL steal their party from under them just like Trump did to the GOPer’s…
u have a link for the PPP poll?
PWire has a NBC poll giving Biden only a 4% point lead….
I’m gonna say Biden will good for at least A 10% point final lead….
Sanders out performed the polls by the same amount in Nevada…
Silver HAS pointed the Democrat going into SC with Black vote HAS OVER-PERFORMED in the last few elections…
I will also point out that the South Carolina winner has become the nominee in those same campaigns ….
This IS the reason I Still think Joe Biden CAN BEAT Bernie Sanders for the prize….
Nate Silver
One thing re: South Carolina polls. In both 2008 and 2016, polls of Southern primary states tended to underestimate the candidate who the majority of the black vote. That is, polls in the South underestimated Obama in 2008 and Clinton in 2016.