So much for the last poll showing Sanders in the lead….
The Iowa caucus vote for Democrats IS fluid….
But Joe Biden keeps getting movement TO HIM from older voters across the spectrum and they tend to vote in higher numbers then younger voters…
The new bickering between Sanders and Warren probably is advantageous to Biden also…
We have about 3 weeks till the vote…
There will be more polls from Iowa…
Four candidates are currently vying for the top spot in next month’s Iowa caucuses – Biden (24%), Sanders (18%), Buttigieg (17%), and Warren (15%). Compared with Monmouth’s November poll, Biden has gained 5 points (up from 19%) and Sanders has gained 5 points (up from 13%), while Buttigieg has lost 5 points (down from 22%) and Warren has declined by 3 points (down from 18%). Klobuchar is knocking on the door of the top tier with 8% support in the current poll (up from 5% in November).
Most of the demographic shifts since November are within the poll’s margin of error, but there was a particularly notable swing among voters age 65 and older away from Buttigieg (11% now, 26% in November) and toward Biden (44% now, 29% in November). Klobuchar has also gained support among these older voters (13% now, 5% in November).
“A plurality of older voters line up behind Biden, but others in that age group seem to be looking for a fresher face. They appear to be split between Buttigieg and Klobuchar right now,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute….
Note…
Iowa has a caucus…NOT a primary…
Each candidate has to meet a viability threshold of 15 percent. That means the number of people in the cluster has to be at least 15 percent of all the participants in the room…
More…
image…usatoday.com
jamesb says
Morning Consult
@MorningConsult
NEW Super Tuesday tracking:
Biden: 28% (-1)
Sanders: 23% (-2)
Warren: 15% (+1)
Bloomberg: 9% (+3)
Buttigieg: 7%
Yang: 5% (+1)
Klobuchar: 3%
Steyer: 3% (-1)
https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/…