The two first small states have Bernie Sanders in the lead…
But beyond those two states?
Joe Biden continues to maintain a lead in the polls (except Wisconsin), which would net him a good amount of the Democratic delegates going into and coming out of Super Tuesday…
The latest ABC News/Washington Post national poll produced by Langer Research Associates has Joe Biden maintaining his lead with Bernie Sanders claiming second.
Why it matters: Nine days before the Iowa caucuses, Elizabeth Warren’s support among polled Democrats has declined from 21% to 11% since an ABC News/WashPost poll in October.
There are way too many contradicting polls to declare that Sanders has peaked.
He HAS in Iowa…..
No doubt….
You’re much like Trumpites.Its not so much that they believe Trumps lies as they “want” to believe them.Accordingly, the lies become their reality.
You “want” to believe Sanders has “peaked” and that becomes your reality.
My point is not that Sanders hasn’t peaked.Its simply that there is no evidence he has.
In fact the polling history for him DIRECTLY points to my view….
Pete was THE guy….
But as I point out in several posts, using the polls as references he HAS gained…
Things ARE fluid with Biden on the ground there while the senators are mostly stuck on DC…
But several polls point to a Sanders resutrgence in Iowa and NH….
Peaking early….
Illogical
Just because he has experienced a “resurgence “ doesn’t mean he has “peaked.”
Maybe Sanders has peaked. Maybe he hasn’t.
Maybe Warren’s endorsement by the Des Moines Register will get her another crack at the top. Or maybe not.
In such a fluid race I won’t make any Iowa predictions until the day before or of the caucuses.
They say the Register tag is worth as much as 3% points….