The Odds (As of January 2020)
To Win the Nomination
(Fair and Balanced as Always)
Biden…48%
Sanders…32%
Buttigieg…9%
Warren…8%
Klobuchar…1%
Bloomberg …1%
My Name is Jack….
image….Fox29.Com
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The most interesting scenario will be Buttigieg wins Iowa, Sanders wins New Hampshire, Warren wins Nevada, Biden wins South Carolina….
Then what?
One of these days, we need to see what one of those brokered conventions look like!
Ah the much ballyhooed “brokered convention.”
Every political junkies dream.
Doubt that we will ever see one again though.
Tulsi Gabbard is going for the George “The Animal” Steele vote:
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2020-presidential-candidate-rep-tulsi-gabbard-surfs-pitches/story?id=67993599&cid=clicksource_77_null_headlines_hed
Surprised that we haven’t yet heard yet about endorsements from fellow martial-arts enthusiasts such as the McMahons, Jesse Ventura and Hulk Hogan.
And, aligned with the Quartet, wasn’t she a veteran of the Hawaii Five or the Surfside Six?
He, he, he
Ur showing ur age DSD….
Trump plans to hold another one of his hate rallies just before the Iowa caucus.
If anything that will push more turnout and probably help Biden or Buttigieg.
I agree Scott…
Remember it’s a caucus….
Not a straight up primary vote …..
Does jamesb vote to confirm Judge as coach of the Giants?
Would have liked the departed Dallas guy…
But i have no choice with the new coach which I now know was promoted by Bill Belichick….
Jason Garrett would not have been a popular choice in NYC.
He, he, he
Yea my son said the same thing ….
I wouldn’t mind Garret coming in to take the Offensive coach job for year underneath the Judge…But Garrett might not want to do that…
Everybody thought Rhule was in….
He went to Carolina.
I guess Judge overRhuled him…
I see that Judge has worked for Belichick and Nick Saban. He just needed Darth Vader and Donald Trump for his resume.
Biden would have to be considered the favorite for the nomination but I am surprised Jack gives him such high odds given the polls in the early primaries. Also, Biden’s support is softer than the other candidates. MY best bet is that Biden will not finish any higher than third in Iowa.
It is my opinion that Jack consistently underestimates the probabilities of unlikely events.
I think Jack is ON POINT….
As i pointed out yesterday and in the polling posts here ….Joe Biden has steadfastly REMAINED. in first place in national polls for months…
I posted here today the MorningConsult weekly tracking poll result for the early states…
Biden has a nice lead there
Biden has also GAINED poll numbers in the two first state contests he’ll be the weakest in Iowa and NH….
He has endured negative media all the way thru the lady 6 months and STILL holds the lead…
He also has the black vote support ace card…
While Hillary thought she had it?
Obama actually carried it…
Biden was of course Obama’s VP something very much on the mind of a lot of Democrats…
Biden has also gotten better at campaigning and provide media access…
It is no coincidence that Trump has put his own ass on the line to try and derail Biden thru his son…
No….
Jack’s monthly forecast IS ON POINT…