Good News for Buttigieg…..
Better News for Biden…..
Bad News for Warren….
Steve Koczela
@skoczela
-Biden 17%
-Sanders 15%
-Warren 12%
-Gabbard 5%
-Yang 5%
-Klobuchar 3%
-Steyer 3%
-Bloomberg 2%
-All others 1% or less.
…
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
538 Iowa polling average with tonight’s Emerson poll included:
Buttigieg: 20.7
Biden: 19.6
Sanders: 17.5
Warren: 12.2
Klobuchar: 7.9
Steyer: 3.2
Booker: 2.7
Yang: 2.2
Bloomberg: 2.2
Gabbard: 1.4
Castro: 0.5
Bennet: 0.3
Williamson: 0.2
Delaney: 0.1
Patrick: 0.0
(Biden actually leads in the new Emerson poll, He was in the state all last week…)
Something I have been pointing out here ….
Arcanjel
@bstnboy
RCP
Nevada
Biden 29% Buttigieg 7.3%
South Carolina
Biden 35.3% Buttigieg 6.5%
California
Biden 21.3% Buttigieg 9.0%
Q-Poll National 12/10
Biden 29% Buttigieg 9%
Black
Biden 51% Buttigieg 2%
White
Biden 21% Buttigieg 14%
Women
Biden 30% Buttigieg 9%
Men
Biden 26% Buttigieg 10%
image…cnbc.com
Nate Cohen
@NateCohen
Black share of the electorate on Super Tuesday
2016: 31%
2020: 21%
Percent of delegates awarded by caucus–
2016: 14%
2020: 3% (1% after IA/NV)
FiveThirtyEight launched its polling averages for the 2020 Democratic primaries, showing Joe Biden leading nationally with 26.2%, followed by Bernie Sanders at 17%, Elizabeth Warren at 14.9% and Pete Buttigieg at 9.6%.
However, the polling averages in the early states are quite different: Buttigieg leads in Iowa by 1.1% and in New Hampshire by .8%, while Biden leads in Nevada by 6.7% and in South Carolina by 21.6%.
Politicalwire….