A THAT is a warning sign to whoever the Democrats have running against him next year….
Democrats ARE enegerzied…
But so are some Republicans…
Just not enough in recent Governor elections that saw there Republicans lose….
Democrats are rightfully ecstatic that they won two of the three 2019 elections for governor in deep red Southern states, overcoming relentless campaign visits by President Donald Trump. But in truth, their twin triumphs had less to do with Trump and more to do with GOP Gov. Matt Bevin’s toxicity in Kentucky and Democratic Gov. John Bel Edwards’s popularity in Louisiana.
Edwards and Democratic Gov.-elect Andy Beshear ran well ahead of Hillary Clinton’s 2016 support virtually everywhere in their states. But the results also reaffirmed where Democrats’ true opportunity lies in 2020: suburbs with lots of college-educated whites.
Democratic victories in Kentucky (where Trump won by a huge 30 points in 2016) and Louisiana (where Trump won by 20 points), are all the more impressive because turnout skyrocketed compared to the races four years ago. In Kentucky, the number of votes cast spiked 51 percent over 2015, and in Louisiana, votes cast surged 31 percent — far higher than the 21 percent increase in Mississippi, where Democrats fell short.
But a closer look at the results suggests it wasn’t necessarily higher turnout that put Edwards and Beshear over the top. In both Kentucky and Louisiana, turnout surged strongly in both heavily blue and heavily red parts of each state, suggesting both Trump and the Democrats were effective in galvanizing their supporters to the polls….
My Name Is Jack says
Well yeah,
But both Kentucky and Louisiana are deep red states.
Now nobody expects the Democratic candidate for President to beat Trump in either state ,but the fact that Trump himself essentially tried to make both elections about him and lost is the only thing of significance in either state.
The fact that Republicans won most contests in two red stares ?Uh well yeah, I mean why wouldn’t they?
Scott P says
Yeah Republicans crowing about winning the lower level races in KY and LA is really just that…crowing.
The marquee races in those states were for Governor.
Often even as states shift to red to blue or vice versa at the presidrntial, senate and gubernatorial level the lower level state offices and state leg races still favor the previously dominant party.
Virginia has been trending blue a while and only this year did the Democrats take control of the legislature.
In Missouri all of the lower level state offices but one (auditor) was in Democratic hands in 2012 even as the state voted for Romney. Now all except the auditor’s seat are held by Republicans.
Zreebs says
I wouldn’t read too much in the Dems winning the governorship in LA and KY.
Speaking for myself, it is much more difficult for me to vote Republican for a federal elections than state elections. And some people might see me as inconsistent. For example, economic justice is a big issue for me at the federal level, but I generally don’t support state efforts to do the same. I would generally oppose most spending programs at the state level, but am much more open to it at the federal level.
I can discuss in additional detail upon request.
jamesb says
Actually along with ur view ?
Both races relied heavily on the candidates themselves….
One a complete knucklehead and the other running against a guy whose father is still popular there…
But the wins DO show that like Trump and Obama ‘s wins?
The unexpected can happen against the norm….