As with other polling….
Elizabeth Warren has lost support after the October debate and her roll out of how she would pay for Medicare for All healthcare plan…
The college vote is about support from the left…
She and Bernie Sanders continue to fight for the same base….
Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s (D-Mass.) support dipped among college students following the fifth Democratic presidential debate this week, according to a Chegg-College Pulse weekly tracker.
According to the latest figures released Thursday, Warren’s support dropped from 31 percent to 24 percent, marking a 7-point decrease from the Oct. 15 poll.
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) now holds a double-digit lead over Warren, garnering 35 percent support among college students. That level marks a high for Sanders, who previously peaked at 34 percent in April.
The tracker, which began in March, also found that businessman Andrew Yang placed third with 11 percent support, with former Vice President Joe Biden trailing with 9 percent.
South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg, meanwhile, followed with 8 percent.
The rest of the Democratic field, including Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.), Rep. Tulsi Gabbard(D-Hawaii), registered at 3 percent or less.
College Pulse CEO Terren Klein warned candidates on Monday not to overlook college students in the 2020 elections, insisting that the demographic could play a crucial role, including in battleground states like Pennsylvania….
image…thehill
This is all pretty interesting. While I still think Elizabeth Warren has a very good chance of becoming the nominee, she has gone backwards seemingly in the past month.
Both her and Sanders are fishing from the same left-wing pond, but he has taken steps to be more ideologically pure, while she has come off more of a politician.
Also, I think that a lot of people who want Warren to be the nominee are concerned about electability, and fear she cannot win, so they are hedging their bets now or looking at other candidates such as Mayor Pete.
Sanders, who likely is less electable than Warren, has supporters who are more true believers. They either do not realize the limits he would have in a general election or simply do not care if he might lose.
The smartest path for these voters though would be to convince Sanders to leave the race and back Warren. That would almost guarantee her nomination. But there seems to be nothing at all pragmatic about Sanders’ base.
Good analysis CG on the Warren/Sanders campigns
I also mostly agree with this – although I do not share CG’s view that Sanders is unelectable. You said the same thing about Trump in both the Primary and the in the general election. People said the same thing about Reagan. A Republican co-worker of mine who dislikes much of what Trump has done and thinks “Trump is not a good person” is adamant that he would vote for Sanders in a general election, but never Biden. He doesn’t believe that Biden is corrupt, but he believes that there is nothing major that Biden even wants to accomplish.
People know Sanders is a Socialist and he still polls very well against Trump. Will he lose some of that support? Perhaps, but I wouldn’t underestimate how tired some people are with Trump, and most candidates running for their second term don’t do as well as they did in their first. I also wouldn’t underestimate the populist appeal of Sanders in parts of rural America. These people may have voted for Trump, but they haven’t done well and they want some changes. Sanders would strive to change things.
Lastly, while Republicans and people who use their talking points don’t realize is that Democrats who support Sanders will not automatically go to Warren if she drops out. She will get at most 60% of his vote – which means a lot left over for other candidates.
A new YouGov/Out magazine survey found that LGBTQ+ voters favor Elizabeth Warren by a nearly 2-to-1 margin over her Democratic rivals in the 2020 primary race.
Warren leads with 31% support, followed by Bernie Sanders at 18%, Joe Biden at 16% and Pete Buttigieg at 14%…
Politicalwire…