Elizabeth Warren IS closing on Joe Biden in this comprehensive poll that measures several things….
In the polling average’s she’s ahead of Biden by 6% points…
Ties Biden in Iowa, leads in New Hampshire and gets blown out in South Carolina …
All this results is Biden leading Warren by double digits in delegates, the thing that gets your the nomination …Nevada is not is the survey….South Carolina IS Biden’s firewall…
Early-state Democratic voters say President Trump’s allegations against Joe Biden have not affected their views of Biden and largely think they aren’t true. Even so, it’s Elizabeth Warren who continues to draw support from Democrats. She has extended the aggregate lead she had in this poll last month across the 18 early primary and caucus states.
As for individual states, she has increased her lead over the pack in New Hampshire and pulled even with Biden in Iowa….
In Iowa, we see an especially fluid race, and as Warren has gained, so has Pete Buttigieg: he’s up from last month, though still in fourth place. Both Biden and Sanders have slipped there. In South Carolina, Biden continues to lead — now the only one of those early three states where he still does — helped by strong support from African-American voters.
Note…
The above CBS piece goes ahead and does a ‘predictive’ guess that give Warren more delegates in early state ‘s of which there is NO current polling …
Huh?
jamesb says
LATimes
@latimes
Opinion: It’s time for Bernie and his bros to get behind Elizabeth Warren latimes.com/opinion/story/… (via @latimesopinion)
jamesb says
Harry Enten
@forecasterenten
I go where the polls go… If you take the national polls right now, Biden + Warren combined probably have a 75% chance of taking the nom. Sanders adds 10%… The question is will another rise? Still have time to go.
jamesb says
Yup Harry…..