I have done posts on Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and now I’ll add Florida…
Donald Trump is relying on a redo of 2016 when he came out of nowhere to get the Republican nomination and win the Presidency without the popular vote…
Donald Trump HAS a history, a sinking economy, no ‘deals’ and the Democrat’s on his case BIG TIME….
All his has going for him is his crying that people are after him because he does whatever he wants?
(He’s running commercials that bull shit. gains already that do NOT exist)
Trump has heard the doubts and doomsaying about Florida before and won the state anyway, defying pundits and political consultants who wrongly thought his positions on immigration would kill his candidacy with Hispanics. And in 2018, his handpicked candidate for governor, Ron DeSantis, also defied the conventional wisdom and won the state by less than half a point. It was just days after Trump threatened to unilaterally end constitutionally protected birthright citizenship for the children of immigrants.
Democratic hopes that many of these groups would vote in force fizzled in 2018. Of the roughly 219,000 Florida voters born in Puerto Rico, only 48 percent turned out last year in an election when overall turnout was 63 percent, according to Smith’s data. The state has more than 1 million Puerto Rican residents overall.
In last year’s midterm elections, the state was a red wall of resistance to the blue wave that swept most of the nation thanks to the sky-high turnout rates of older white voters — who tend to disproportionately vote Republican. Low Hispanic turnout was also a key. Overall, the white vote is increasingly becoming more Republican, although not to the same degree that non-white voters break for Democrats.
Of Florida’s 13.5 million active registered voters, about 63 percent are white, 3 points lower than at this point in the 2016 cycle.
Older white voters constitute the core of Trump’s base here, sprinkled throughout the state and notably clustered in the Central Florida retirement community called The Villages, where Trump stopped Thursday.
“Trump’s visit to The Villages could not better illustrate his strategy in Florida, which is to double down on older white voters,” said Andrew Gillum, the Democratic nominee for governor against DeSantis. Today, Gillum and a coalition of Democratic groups are funneling money into voter registration efforts, which are slowly ramping up.
“What Trump did in 2016 in the state — which shocked so many of us because we didn’t think he could do this — was run a hyper-white campaign,” Gillum said. “But Florida is changing. And it will be a tipping point if we can just get people out to vote.”…
June 18, 2019…
As President Trump prepares for the ceremonial kickoff of his 2020 re-election bid Tuesday in Orlando, a Quinnipiac University Poll released Tuesday shows the incumbent trailing behind at least two competitors in the Democratic primary field in the critical swing state of Florida.
The survey shows former Vice President Joe Biden leading Mr. Trump 50% to 41%, while Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont is ahead of the incumbent by six percentage points.
Hypothetical match-ups between Mr. Trump and the other top contenders are much closer. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts leads the incumbent 47% to 43%, while Sen. Kamala Harris of California, former Texas U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg are all ahead of Mr. Trump by just one percentage point….