Several polls out today….
Biden leads in Bernie Sanders in New Hampshire and nationally as he has been for months…..
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) slipped to third place among New Hampshire primary voters as former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren(D-Mass.) fall into statistical dead-heat for the top spot, according to a new poll.
Sanders, who led in the state in February with 27 percent of the vote, dropped 14 points to 13 percent, according to an Emerson poll released Tuesday.
Biden and Warren are now the most popular candidates among Democrats who will cast the first votes in the 2020 primary, based on the poll. Biden is at 24 percent and Warren is at 21 percent.
It’s just a one point shift for Biden, who was at 25 percent in the February poll, and a 9 point increase for Warren, who was at 9 percent in February….
National Biden lead continues….
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a 12-point lead nationally over Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) among likely Democratic presidential primary voters, according to a new poll.
The latest Morning Consult online survey finds Biden at 33 percent support, followed by Sanders at 21 percent and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) at 16 percent.
Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) is in fourth place at 7 percent, followed by South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D) at 5 percent.
The survey results have not changed much over the past few months, although Harris has seen her support cut in half since topping out at 14 percent in early July…
Texas….
The top three contenders for the Democratic presidential nomination all lead President Trump in deep-red Texas where a Democrat has not won a statewide race in 25 years, according to a new poll.
The latest Univision News survey of Texas finds Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders(I) doing best in a hypothetical head-to-head match-up against Trump in Texas, leading the president 48 percent to 42 percent.
Former Vice President Joe Biden leads Trump 47 percent to 43 percent, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) has a narrow 44 percent to 42 percent advantage.
The Univision survey found that 40 percent of registered voters in Texas would cast a ballot for an unnamed Democrat, while 33 percent said they’d vote for Trump. When undecided voters leaning one way or the other are factored in, the Democrat leads Trump 47 percent to 42 percent.
The poll is the latest one to find Democrats running close to Trump or leading him in Texas, which has not gone for the Democratic presidential contender in more than 40 years….
Hispanics….
A new poll released Tuesday shows all top-tier Democratic presidential candidates leadingPresident Trump by more than 40 percentage points among Hispanic registered voters nationwide.
The Univision poll, conducted by Latino Decisions and North Star Opinion Research, shows that 73 percent of Hispanic voters nationwide plan to vote for a Democratic candidate while only 16 percent plan to vote for Trump.
That’s a drop for Trump, who according to 2016 polling by Latino Decisions, won around 19 percent of the Hispanic vote.Exit polls showed Trump winning as much as 29 percent of the Hispanic vote, but that figure has been disputed as exit polls tend to be inaccurate when measuring minorities.
Trump also fares poorly against specific Democratic presidential candidates, with the biggest gaps in direct matchups against former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).
But Trump’s support in direct match-ups is also highest against Sanders and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), the two Democratic front-runners more closely identified with the progressive wing of the party.
Biden leads Trump in national Hispanic voter intent 71 percent to 15 percent, according to the poll, while Sanders has a 71 percent to 18 percent lead….
President Trump’s job approval rating in rural areas of the Rust Belt and Great Plains states is at 60 percent, markedly higher than his job approval rating nationally, according to a new poll commissioned by Democrats
A Change Research survey sponsored by The American Federation of Teachers and One Country, a group with close ties to former Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.), found that 60 percent of voters from non-metro counties in Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and West Virginia approve of the job Trump is doing.
All of those states voted for Trump in 2016 with the exception of Colorado and Minnesota. Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin went red in the 2016 election for the first time in decades, and Democrats believe that rebuilding that “blue wall” represents their likeliest path back to the White House.
While Trump’s job approval rating among rural Democrats is only at 7 percent, he gets 97 percent support from rural Republicans and 51 percent support from rural independents.
Trump’s job approval rating in rural areas is better than his standing overall. The president’s national job approval rating has generally been rangebound between the high 30s and low 40s, and it currently stands at 43 percent positive and 54 percent negative in the RealClearPolitics average.
Trump’s favorable rating in rural areas is at 55 percent favorable and 40 percent unfavorable in the nine states polled….
Correction..
I had NH as Sanders home state originally….That is incorrect …Vermont is
image…TheHill…
New Hampshire is not Bernie Sanders’ home-state.
That’s equivalent to calling Australia the home country of Jacinda Ardern or the Kiwis, or the U.S.A. the home country of Céline Dion.
Vermont is the 14th state (not admitted til 1791) because she struggled for decades not to be absorbed by New York, New Hampshire or Massachusetts.
And, anyway, niggling literalists would say that Sen. Sanders’ home state (like Vt Gov. Howard Dean’s and Mass. Cong. Barney. Frank’s) is New York.
My bad on the New Hampshire comment…
Vermont is the right state…
Barney is from NJ
I stand corrected and humbly apologise to Bayonne.