Only 29% of likely California voters say they plan to vote for Trump next year…
The President has been fighting with the state since he got his job…
It ain’t helping him politically…
Trump lost the state to Hillary Clinton by 30 points in 2016, and the state’s voters have moved further from his party since then. The administration has fought California officials on a host of issues involving immigration, healthcare and the environment, among other things — all topics on which Trump’s positions are unpopular in the state.
In the 2018 midterm election, Republicans lost seven contested congressional seatsin the state, including in onetime GOP strongholds in Orange County.
A huge loss for Trump in California would have implications beyond the historical record books.
Trump’s deficit in the state in 2016 was a big part of why he lost the popular vote nationwide even as he won enough states to gain a majority of the electoral college. An even larger statewide defeat in 2020 would increase the chance of another election in which a Democrat wins millions more votes than Trump even though the Democratic nominee may struggle to get a majority of electoral votes.
On the statewide level, Trump has acted as a drag on his party’s candidates for other offices, and that could worsen in 2020, said Mark DiCamillo, director of the Berkeley poll.
“Trump’s declining electoral fortunes in California could dispirit Republican voters here, reducing GOP turnout in next year’s primary and general elections. This could spell trouble for Republican candidates running in competitive elections for Congress, Assembly and state Senate,” DiCamillo said….