About that Monmouth Democratic poll…..

Monmouth is out with a poll that EVERYONE is talking about…

It shows Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren at 20% and Joe Biden @ 19%…..

Hmmmm?

There are SEVERAL issues with the numbers…..

First of all?

The poll has only has 298 registered Democrats respomding….

The poll also had a margin of error of a whopping 5.7% points…

Even the guys running the polling operation there is cautious about its results….

Of course the poll made the media front pages…..

But even the political media types where quick to point out that this poll is the OINLY one with such close numbers and is probably an outlier…

The message it does send?

Joe Biden may be in the lead….

But Warren is nipping at his toes…..

The Monmouth University poll, released Monday, shows Sanders and Warren deadlocked among Democratic voters at 20 percent, with Biden a point behind, at 19 percent. No other candidate cracks double digits: Kamala Harris is in fourth place, at 8 percent.

Compared with the Monmouth poll in June, Sanders has ticked up 6 points, and Warren 5 points. Biden dropped 13 points, from 32 percent in June.

The poll shows Biden’s slippage coming across the Democratic electorate, rather than from a specific demographic or ideological group. He is down 14 points among white and nonwhite voters. He’s down 14 points among men, and 13 points among women. He’s down 15 points among voters younger than 50 years old, and 9 percent among voters 50 and older.

Biden also slipped 18 points among Democratic voters who described themselves as moderate or conservative, and 9 points among self-identified liberals.

“The main takeaway from this poll is that the Democratic race has become volatile,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. “Liberal voters are starting to cast about for a candidate they can identify with. Moderate voters, who have been paying less attention, seem to be expressing doubts about Biden. But they are swinging more toward one of the left-leaning contenders with high name recognition rather than toward a lesser known candidate who might be more in line with them politically.”

The Monmouth poll is the first major national poll all year to show a candidate other than Biden in the lead. It differs from some surveys conducted over similar time periods. A CNN/SSRS national poll, conducted Aug. 15-18, showed Biden at 29 percent, significantly ahead of Sanders (15 percent) and Warren (14 percent)….

More…

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