Post debate’s Reality check ….
She moves ahead of Pete Buttigieg in the average polling resulted listed today…
This is based on the Morning Consult poll release yesterday after thus weeks debates…
Julian Castro still polls less then. 1.%…
Biden still is the clean cut leader….
He’s ahead of Sanders in second place 2-1 and Warren in third by a little less than 3 – 1…
He’s ahead of Harris more than 3-1….
If other polling confirms this?
All the pundits and media noise about Harris will be far overblown…
Joe Biden is STILl the odds on choice of the majority of Democratic polled voters 6 months out from the actual primary voting….
image….woub.org
CG says
Can you define the term “majority?”
There seems to be some confusion in this post over what exactly it means. It is a very specific mathematical term.
jamesb says
State the ‘term’ please?…
CG says
50 percent plus 1.
That’s a long way from 31.
jamesb says
Biden gets MORE votes then anyone else IS the point….
CG says
That’s not what you wrote though.
Also, polls are not votes.
jamesb says
Agreed on the polls vs votes…
BUT?
I disagree with Jack….
RIGHT NOW?
Polls ARE how candidates are viewed and defined….
Right NOW?…
Joe Biden IS the leader….PERIOD…
Kamala Harris didn’t set Biden up because polls don’t matter…
She like the rest of the field wants Biden’s spot in the polls….
Likewise?
The people below , say 5th or 6th place?
They gonna lose their money train….
They will be dropping out….
So?
Like it or NOT?
Polls define the early nomination race….
jamesb says
Again…
Yea…
They ain’t votes…
But the DO count….
CG says
We are a couple days too soon to see the full effect of the debate news cycle on the polls, but at an early point, Biden has lost ground.
The issue is that you seem to not understand the difference between a majority and a plurality or are deliberately ignoring the difference, which I think is more likely.
CG says
Biden had one of his major fundraisers, Jay McInerney, immediately jump ship after the debate.
jamesb says
Yea…
The guy wasn’t at the California fundraiser I did the post on….
So what?
Biden isn’t having any money problems at ALL….
jamesb says
The fact remains….
Joe Biden is leading both the Democrats and Trump right now….