Political Dog 101

Politics, News, Comments & Other Good Stuff....

Donald Trump would lose to Joe Biden if the election was now….

By

That’s there view if you look at the polling in the electoral states like Harry Enten @ CNN did a few days ago….

Donald Trump is actually in WORST condition then he was prior to the 2016 election 16 months out….And he now has a record in office to defend…

…Trump likely needs something to change if he wants to win reelection.
Biden, currently the Democratic frontrunner, has a clear lead over Trump in the state that had the closest margin in the 2016 presidential election.
And this Michigan poll was not the only survey out this week that indicates Trump’s reelection bid is currently in trouble.
A Quinnipiac University poll from Texas showed Biden ahead of Trump by 48% to 44%. This is a state that hasn’t voted Democratic in a presidential election since 1976. And while the Texas US Senate race was close in 2018, not one reputable presidential election poll at any point in any election cycle has even shown a Democratic presidential candidate ahead since 1992.
These polls come on top of previous data indicating how much trouble Trump would be in if the election were held today.
He trailed Biden by 11 points in a May Quinnipiac poll from Pennsylvania. This was a state that Trump won by a little less than a point after it had voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in every election from 1992 to 2012.
Nationally, we see the same thing. Biden has led Trump by 8 points in an average of polls taken since the beginning of the year.
It shouldn’t be surprising that, ahead of next year’s primary contests, Biden has a clear lead over Trump. It mostly lines up with what Trump’s approval rating suggests should be the case.
Take a look at Trump’s net approval (approval minus disapproval) ratings in last year’s exit polls:
  • Michigan: net approval rating of -12 points.
  • Pennsylvania: net approval rating of -10 points.
  • Texas: net approval rating of 0 points.
  • Nationally: net approval rating of -9 points.
With the exception of the Texas poll, Biden’s margin is within a point in each respective jurisdiction of Trump’s net approval rating in the exit polls last year. And even in Texas, Trump’s net approval in the exit poll looks a lot like the net approval rating Quinnipiac recorded recently of -1 point.
Perhaps most importantly, Trump’s deficit in each place is far greater than it was heading into the 2016 presidential election…..
image…NYPost….
Update…

President Trump and former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. repeatedly ripped into each other on Tuesday as unfit to lead the country as they both traveled to the battleground state of Iowa, giving voters a preview of what a general election matchup between the two men might look like.

In the most ferocious day of attacks in the six-month-old presidential campaign, Mr. Trump resorted to taunts and name-calling from morning to night, saying Mr. Biden was “a loser,” “a sleepy guy” and “the weakest mentally,” and claiming that “people don’t respect him.” Mr. Biden took a different tack, laying out ways Mr. Trump was “an existential threat” to the country, its international standing and its values.

Mr. Biden, who leads in early polls for the Democratic presidential nomination, also brought up subjects he had previously avoided with reporters, such as Mr. Trump siding with the North Korean state media’s insults on Mr. Biden’s I.Q.

”He embraces dictators like Kim Jong-un, who’s a damn murderer and a thug?” Mr. Biden said at his second event of the day, in Mount Pleasant, Iowa. “The one thing they agree on: Joe Biden, he shouldn’t be president.”

The hostile exchanges, which went back and forth across multiple Iowa campaign stops, were the clearest evidence yet that the two men see political advantages in waging a battle against one another at this early stage of the race….

More…

Note….
He may not know it….. But Donald Trump is actually helping Joe Biden in the polls by mentioning him every chance he gets….The other Democrats seem to be standing on the sidelines…

Recent Posts

Reader Interactions

Comments

  1. Lots of stuff on Trump’s problems against Biden in the last few days….

    More every day…..

    Trump world HAS to be worried…..

    Biden bleeding a few poll points but STILL miles ahead of the Democratic field and TRUMP…..

    • The dam has broken on the war between House Democrats and Trump admin…
      Don Jr. today
      Hope Hicks will come in also
      The deal is they speak in private sessions

Discover more from Political Dog 101

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading