THAT is going to be a challenge for a lot of Democrats running for the parties Presidential nomination in a little more than two years…..
The 2020 Democratic Presidential nominee could very well be known by March 4th…
First?
The state ‘s also voting for delegates to the convention are Vermont, Massachusetts, Virginia or North Carolina…..This AFTER South Carolina, which tends to set up the winner of the nomination…
March 3rd is gonna be a junior Super Tuesday….
Second?
Kamala Harris is the US Senator in that state….
Joe Biden is probably the only person running for the Democrats that is known as well as Harris….
Third?
No matter what?
For lower tier candidates ?
It is essential that they run fairly well in the early states of Iowa and New Hampshire .
Those who come out on the bottom of the vote total’s will see campaign money dry up instantly….
For the top tier?
They must do well in the early state’s to cement their positions in the top of the race….
The 2020 changes could help a candidate such as Sen. Kamala Harris(Calif.), whose home state will vote earlier in the process. Outgoing Rep. Beto O’Rourke (Texas) could also have an advantage.
But Iowa is likely to still matter, and a steady stream of would-be candidates, including Harris, Sen. Cory Booker (N.J.) and former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, have all made recent trips to the Hawkeye State.
“The fact that all these candidates are coming to Iowa already shows me it’s going to be significant,” said Steffan Schmidt, a political science professor at Iowa State University.
“Whoever wins the Iowa caucuses will make headlines. They’re going to get a lot of free publicity and momentum,” he added. “The only way that happens in California is if Bernie Sanders or one of these candidates gets on a surf board.”…
California’s state and congressional primaries are always in June; and that’s also been largely true of presidential ones, too (going back as far as 1964 if not much earlier).
The danger of an early primary is that delegates might get elected for a candidate who does not last until the end of the Democratic primary season (when New York and South Dakota, among other states) vote.
And although an early primary might sway the process more, and avoids merely ratifying instead of influencing the choice of other states, a surprising number of June California primaries have been quite exciting and sometimes significant, e.g. the GOP one in 1964 and the Democratic one in 1968 won by RFK over Eugene McCarthy and the uncommitted slate (leaning towards Hubert Humphrey).
Candidates not in the running usually release their delegates?
If there is a clear winner by the actual Super Tuesday, it would be a fait acccompli ?
Front loading could be the end for the late primary states , which is why Cali moved up I assume…
Cali is a HUGE media market, a lot of the lower tier people simply will Not be able to afford it….