I certainly believe so….
Politico explains the technical reason….
Except for Ronald Reagan?
No modern era President has received a second term with approval ratings below 50% were Donald Trump has been stuck consistently since he got his current job….
I’ve posted this before…
Unless he becomes LESS bombastic and digs inside to find some of his past Democratic leanings?…There is simply little that will help him get another term if Democrats duplicate their YUGE turnout and money making machine….
Presidential wins are based on electoral college state votes NOT popular votes as we have seen with Al Gore and Hillary Clinton…
While Trump did well in the old bellwether states of Ohio and Florida….
Those two state’s seem to have been exchanged for other state’s in that Trump won like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania three weeks ago…
It is my view , and others, that Donald J. Trump, bruised by an upcoming Mueller & Co. brutal final report and continued criminal convictions of those around him along with more evidence that he has little grasp of the Presidency and Reality will narrow his support even among Republicans and NOT allow his approval rating to climb much from where it has been for he past almost 2 years….
WE KNOW who he IS….
But his biggest enemy is HIMSELF..…
Donald Trump insists the GOP’s midterm election shellacking had nothing to do with him. Things will be different, he says, when his name is actually on the ballot in 2020.
While it’s true that most presidents who see their party suffer major losses in their first midterm election get reelected anyway, Trump isn’t most presidents — and there are lots of blaring-red warning lights in this month’s election results for his bid for a second term.
Unlike most of his predecessors, he’s been persistently unpopular, with approval ratings mired in the 40-percent range — so far, he’s the only president in the modern era whose job approval ratings have never been over 50 percent, according to Gallup.
Some of Democrats’ biggest gains came in the states that powered Trump’s Electoral College victory in 2016: Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. And while a president’s base has stayed home in previous midterm elections, leading to losses, the record turnout in this year’s races suggests 2018 was more like a 2016 re-run than Trump voters standing on the sidelines.
Thus far, even Trump loyalists in the party haven’t seen the president expand his electoral base beyond core Republicans.
“This is now the party of Donald Trump. I read articles saying the Republican Party has merged with the Trump coalition — they have no choice. Trump voters own the Republican Party. That’s consolidated,” said John McLaughlin, who was part of the team of pollsters working on Trump’s 2016 campaign. “The bad part is they haven’t broadened [his coalition]. They haven’t gotten his job approval over 50 percent, like Reagan. We haven’t done that.”…
To be fair ?
The piece does point out that Democrats MUST run a strong candidate against Trump , fi he is running in 2020. He will try to replay his nomination and general election campaign model of strong personal attacks, based on lies and media grading stunts…
It did work for him twice….