Mike Allen over at Axios jumps into Five Thirty Eight’s territory in analyzing the prospects for Donald Trump plotting a second term, something this dog thinks just isn’t gonna happen unless Trump changes up his sidewalk act….
The 2016 thing didn’t work last week in the midterms and isn’t gonna work over the next two years either….
Allen’s analysis is based on Hillary Clinton NOT being the Democratic nominee again, that, even as there are hints percolating that she might try to run again….
Democratic turn out efforts rewarded them in House voting and if it continues will be a problem for Trump and Republicans…
To win re-election, President Trump must wage a two-front war: Not only does he have to defend Democratic-leaning Midwest states that sealed his victory in 2016, but he now needs to defend against clear Republican erosion in the South and Southwest.
What they’re saying: “Changing demographics and Trump have blown up the electoral map that has dominated American politics since 1992,” said Doug Sosnik, a White House adviser to President Bill Clinton who is one of the best trend detectors in U.S. politics.