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Daily Polling Updates…November 4, 2018

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Another Good polling day for Democrats….

Sunday, November 4
Race/Topic   (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
Arizona Senate – McSally vs. Sinema Trafalgar Group (R) Sinema 50, McSally 47 Sinema +3
New Mexico Senate – Rich vs. Heinrich vs. Johnson Albuquerque Journal Heinrich 51, Rich 31, Johnson 12 Heinrich +20
New York Senate – Farley vs. Gillibrand Siena Gillibrand 58, Farley 35 Gillibrand +23
New Mexico Governor – Pearce vs. Grisham Albuquerque Journal Grisham 53, Pearce 43 Grisham +10
New York Governor – Molinaro vs. Cuomo Siena* Cuomo 49, Molinaro 36 Cuomo +13
New Mexico 1st District – Arnold-Jones vs. Haaland Albuquerque Journal* Haaland 50, Arnold-Jones 38 Haaland +12
New Mexico 2nd District – Herrell vs. Small Albuquerque Journal Herrell 46, Small 45 Herrell +1
President Trump Job Approval NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl Approve 46, Disapprove 52 Disapprove +6
President Trump Job Approval ABC News/Wash Post Approve 44, Disapprove 52 Disapprove +8
2018 Generic Congressional Vote ABC News/Wash Post Democrats 52, Republicans 44 Democrats +8
2018 Generic Congressional Vote NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl Democrats 50, Republicans 43 Democrats +7
Direction of Country NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl Right Direction 38, Wrong Track 54 Wrong Track +16

Real Clear Politics

November 4

DATES POLLSTER SAMPLE RESULT NET RESULT
U.S. Senate
•
 Pa.
NOV 1-3
Research Co.
 450 RV Casey
56%
39%
 Barletta Casey +17
U.S. Senate
•
 N.Y.
NOV 1-3
Research Co.
 450 RV Gillibrand
60%
32%
 Farley Gillibrand +28
U.S. Senate
•
 Minn.
NOV 1-3
Research Co.
 450 RV Smith
49%
39%
 Housley Smith +10
U.S. Senate
•
 Minn.
NOV 1-3
Research Co.
 450 RV Klobuchar
53%
33%
 Newberger Klobuchar +20
U.S. Senate
•
 Mich.
NOV 1-3
Research Co.
 450 RV Stabenow
52%
36%
 James Stabenow +16
U.S. Senate
•
 Calif.
NOV 1-3
Research Co.
 450 RV Feinstein
47%
28%
 de Leon Feinstein +19
U.S. Senate
•
 Ariz.
OCT 30-NOV 1
C

Trafalgar Group

 2,166 LV Sinema
50%
47%
 McSally Sinema +3
U.S. Senate
•
 N.Y.
OCT 28-NOV 1
A

Siena College

 641 LV Gillibrand
58%
35%
 Farley Gillibrand +23
U.S. Senate
•
 N.M.
OCT 26-NOV 1
A

Research & Polling, Inc.

 993 LV Heinrich
51%
31%
 Rich Heinrich +20
U.S. Senate
•
 Calif.
OCT 25-30
B

Probolsky Research

 900 LV Feinstein
41%
35%
 de Leon Feinstein +6
U.S. Senate
Mich.
OCT 22-24
C

Target Insyght

 800 LV Stabenow
53%
43%
 James Stabenow +10

Five Thirty Eight

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  2. If CG’s leans and tossups vote the way he estimates they’re most likely to do, then he foresees a change of 26 House seats from the GOP to the Democrats, 3 more than the 23 needed (218-217) to switch control between parties:

    Current House:
    195 D,
    240 R

    Predicted Result:
    221 D (159 Safe, 32 Likely, 14 Leans, 16 Tossup)
    214 R (97 Safe, 71 Likely, 28 Leans, 18 Tossup)

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