We’re closing in on two weeks from the November midterm election and we are seeing Democrats and the media come back down to earth on the election results….
The Democrats will become a majority in the US House…
Chances of getting a majority in the US Senate would be a miracle….
Chances of Republicans keeping a slim majority are about where it should be….
(There could be some surprise results when the dust clears after election night)
By the way?
Republicans should enjoy the next two years with their Senate control…
It is highly THAT will survive that 2020 elections when they have to defend TONS of seats that Democrats do not have to….
Democratic hopes of winning the Senate have faded in the final weeks of the 2018 election, with the party now needing to win every one of more than a half-dozen competitive races in order to capture control of the chamber.
It’s a far cry from a month ago, when Democrats saw a path to the majority opening wider as several battleground races trended in their direction. But in recent weeks, Sen. Heidi Heitkamp’s (D-N.D.) seat has slipped away and looks likely to be a Republican pickup, and Democrats have not opened advantages in any of the three GOP-held seats where they’re on offense, instead trailing in public polling in Nevada and Tennessee.
Democrats would have to turn around both of those races, carry Arizona, and then sweep largely conservative battleground races featuring incumbent Democrats — Missouri, Florida, Indiana, Montana and West Virginia — to win the majority, a prospect several party strategists referred to as picking up an “inside straight” — a low-odds poker hand.
“I am not without hope in terms of these races, but I think we can acknowledge that it’s a difficult map and that we’ve got to run the table,” said Guy Cecil, chairman of Priorities USA, a major Democratic super PAC.
With the majority looking improbable, party strategists have started to cast their eyes further ahead, looking at the 2018 Senate battlefield as a margin game. Just how big the Republican majority will be — and just how many red-state Democrats can win reelection in two weeks — could decide whether the GOP will cement Senate control for years or whether Democrats have the opportunity to wrest back the majority in 2020, when a more favorable array of states have Senate elections.
“If we don’t win back the majority, we should look at this as a four-year cycle and not a two-year cycle, positioning ourselves to win back the majority,” said Rodell Mollineau, a veteran Democratic strategist. “Republicans have a lot of seats up and will have a lot to answer to come 2020.”….