| Monday, October 22 |
| DATES | POLLSTER | SAMPLE | RESULT | NET RESULT | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
•
|
|||||||||||||
|
•
|
|||||||||||||
|
•
|
|||||||||||||
|
•
|
|||||||||||||
|
•
|
|||||||||||||
- AZ-Sen: Data Orbital (R): Kyrsten Sinema (D): 47, Martha McSally (R): 41 (Sept.: 46-42 Sinema)
- NV-Sen: Public Policy Polling (D) for Protect Our Care: Jacky Rosen (D): 48, Dean Heller (R-inc): 46 (Aug.: 48-43 Rosen)
Data Orbital presents two different models for its polls. They explain, “One model allows for a Democratic surge, giving Republicans only a 5% ballot advantage compared with their 13% advantage in the last midterms,” while the “other is modeled on an average surge with a 9% Republican ballot advantage. ” We’ve used the “advantage surge” model here. In the “Democratic surge,” Sinema leads 48-40.
U.S. House Predictions
Georgia- Idaho
http://cgpolitics.blogspot.com/2018/10/us-house-predictions-georgia-idaho.html