Will South Carolina decide the 2020 Democratic Presidential nominee?….

Yes, It very well could….

That is good news for two people in my view…..

Joe Biden and Kamala Harris….

 

And I see this as the main contest….

Biden leads the early Democratic polling…

It will be his third and last try for the brass ring….

He has just hit the road after being the countries Vice President for 8 years ….

His boss was the nations first Black/Mixed race President who has approval  numbers in the 60%’s….

He is also liked by blue color non college white males…..

Kamala Harris, the junior US Senator from California has her structural advantages also….

She is from the state that has the MOST delegates for the Democratic convention….

She, like Barack Obama is Black/Mixed….

She, like Obama is a fairly new US Senator….

There are other possible Black sweepstakes contestants such and Cory Booker, Deval Patrick and Eric Holder in the running…But Harris is the media favorite right now….

 

South Carolina for the Democratic Presidential nomination sweepstakes is gonna be about the Black vote….Iowa and New Hampshire will whittle down the number of people running …But those two small states are not representative of the Democratic voting base….South Carolina is more so….

Hillary Clinton found that out in 2008 when her husband though she  would grab the state against Obama , but THAT didn’t happen….

We will see…..

At its recent meeting in Chicago, the Democratic National Committee adopted rules confirming Iowa, once again, as the first caucus state in 2020. In a prepared statement, the Iowa Democratic Party chairman, Troy Price, called hosting the caucuses an “awesome responsibility.”

The crush of media attention on Iowa and New Hampshire, the first primary state, is historically so significant that competing there will be instrumental to candidates’ ability to gain — or keep — national attention early in the primary process. And the significance of states that follow, including South Carolina, could sharply decline if any candidate wins both Iowa and New Hampshire, gelling support early in the nominating process.

“[But] assuming you have a split between Iowa and New Hampshire, South Carolina becomes critical,” said Bob Shrum, a longtime political strategist who served on multiple Democratic presidential campaigns.”

Before California and its massive delegate haul, he said, “South Carolina would be the next signal, and primary voters are always looking for signals.”

In South Carolina, Seawright puts that sentiment in spiritual terms.

“Anyone who’s thinking about, or flirting with, the idea of running for president in the Democratic primary in 2020 understands two things,” he said. “The road to heaven and the road to the White House runs through South Carolina, and very likely, whoever wins South Carolina will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2020.”….

More…

Note….

Yes….

I myself am giving Senator’s Sanders and Warren NO Chance to win South Carolina based on past Black voters NOT being so receptive to left leaning  white Democratic contenders….Obama was the first Black to seriously run for President….THAT was his ace card in that state…

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