…from Sabato’s Crystal Ball…
Trump has negative approval numbers in a LOT of states….
A series of new Reuters/Ipsos/University of Virginia Center for Politics polls found close races in the key Senate battlegrounds of Arizona, Florida, Nevada, and Texas.
The polls, conducted online in English from Sept. 5 to 17 with roughly 2,000 respondents per state (narrowed down to about 1,000 likely voters per state), found the following results for the Senate and gubernatorial races among likely voters in the five states surveyed:
Arizona Senate: Kyrsten Sinema (D) 47%, Martha McSally (R) 44%
Arizona Governor: Doug Ducey (R) 51%, David Garcia (D) 39%
California Senate: Dianne Feinstein (D) 44%, Kevin de León (D) 24%
California Governor: Gavin Newsom (D) 52%, John Cox (R) 40%
Florida Senate: Rick Scott (R) 46%, Bill Nelson (D) 45%
Florida Governor: Andrew Gillum (D) 50%, Ron DeSantis (R) 44%
Nevada Senate: Dean Heller (R) 46%, Jacky Rosen (D) 43%
Nevada Governor: Adam Laxalt (R) 43%, Steve Sisolak (D) 40%
Texas Senate: Beto O’Rourke (D) 47%, Ted Cruz (R) 45%
Texas Governor: Greg Abbott (R) 50%, Lupe Valdez (D) 41%
President Donald Trump’s approval rating among likely voters in each state is mixed at best, although perhaps unsurprisingly given how Democratic the state is, Trump’s approval is only very sharply negative in California:
Arizona: 45% approve-53% disapprove
California: 36%-63%
Florida: 47%-53%
Nevada: 49%-49%
Texas: 47%-53%
Full details, including toplines, tables, crosstabs, and methodological information, for all five of these polls are available at: https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/news-polls/election-data-CA-FL-TX-NV-AZ.
While Trumps disapprovals are important,one must remember that they include a lot of Republicans who,while approving of his policies don’t like him personally and so may answer a simple approve /disapprove question with the latter, while still supporting Republican candidates.
Yup….
Still that high approval number IS suspect….
Hardcore support is pegged at below 50%…
Ohio U.S. Senate:
http://cgpolitics.blogspot.com/2018/09/ohio-us-senate-race-of-day.html
Oklahoma Governor:
http://cgpolitics.blogspot.com/2018/09/oklahoma-governor-race-of-day.html