A new poll from the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times gives Democrats a HUGE growing boost in general support and specifically with women….
This while the party is dealing with a possible vote on a guy for the US Supreme Court that has women problems in his past?
Could all this bleed into the US Senate races also ?
Could Democrats be on the verge of getting majorities in the House and Senate?
Could wave turn into a Tsumni?
Boosted by growing support among suburban women and widespread antipathy toward President Trump, Democrats approach the midterm election poised to make major gains nationwide, a new USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll shows.
Democrats had a 14-point margin, 55% to 41%, when likely voters were asked which party’s candidate they would cast a ballot for if the election were held now. If that advantage holds up until election day, just less than six weeks away, it would almost surely be large enough to sweep a Democratic majority into the House.
Voters also oppose Republicans on a number of major issues. But overriding all of them is the president, whose outsized personality has dominated the nation’s news since he declared his candidacy more than three years ago.
Roughly 3 out of 4 likely voters said they saw their vote this fall as an opportunity to express a view of Trump. For many, that view is negative: Those saying they planned to register opposition outnumbered Trump supporters, 45% to 29%.
Likely voters disapprove of Trump’s overall performance in office by 57% to 39%, the poll found. Almost half of likely voters, 49%, said they “strongly” disapprove, while just under one-quarter, 24%, strongly approve.
Especially notable are the views of women, whose preferences have expanded the Democratic edge since a USC Dornsife poll surveyed most of the same voters this summer….
Florida US Senate race and Governors races move to Democrats…
Democrat Andrew Gillum hasn’t trailed in a single post-primary poll to Republican Ron DeSantis, including in yesterday’s NBC/Marist poll, which showed Gillum ahead by 5 points among likely voters and 8 points among registered voters.
In the Senate race, Nelson is ahead of Republican Rick Scott by 3 points among likely voters in the same NBC/Marist poll, 48 percent to 45 percent. And a Quinnipiac poll released the same day showed Nelson’s lead at 7 points, 53 percent to 46 percent.
“The political environment in Florida, overall, is tipping in the Democrats’ favor,” said Marist’s Lee Miringoff of the NBC/Marist poll….
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Speaking of leading gubernatorial candidates pulling the rest of their ticket, don’t lose sight of how Democrats running ahead in the GOV contests in Illinois and Michigan are making House races in those states much more difficult for Republicans. In Illinois, think IL-6, IL-12, IL-13 and IL-14. And in Michigan, think MI-8, MI-11, M-6, MI-7. Just something to keep an eye on…
RRH Elections…
Trump: Job approval for His Orangeness is underwater 40 – 56 per Gallup, while Marist has it at 42 – 49 and YouGov gives him 40 – 50.
Generic Congressional Ballot: Marist shows the Dems in the lead with 48% against 41% for the GOP. Rasmussen has the race at 46D – 43R, while YouGov has it as D46, R38….
Link…
RealClearPolitics’ presidential performance approval spread has swollen back up to – 9.0% (43.5 % – 52.5 %).
Both approval and disapproval lost one-fifth of a percentage point from the Sept. 25 ratings, leaving the margin unchanged.
As they say about the weather in New England, if you don’t like it, just wait an hour…
A new PPIC poll in California finds Gavin Newsom (D) with a double-digit lead over John Cox (R) among likely voters in the race for governor, 51% to 39%, although the 24 point lead Newsom had in July has narrowed to 12 points today.
Meanwhile, Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D), who is seeking her fifth full term in the US Senate, leads Kevin de León (D) by 11 points, 40% to 29% among likely voters, with 8% undecided….
Politicalwire…