| Wednesday, August 1 |
| Tuesday, July 31 |
| Race/Topic (Click to Sort) | Poll | Results | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Senate – Scott vs. Nelson | Mason-Dixon | Scott 47, Nelson 44 | Scott +3 |
| Nevada Senate – Heller vs. Rosen | Suffolk* | Rosen 40, Heller 41 | Heller +1 |
| Nevada Governor – Laxalt vs. Sisolak | Suffolk* | Sisolak 41, Laxalt 42 | Laxalt +1 |
| Georgia Governor – Kemp vs. Abrams | Gravis | Abrams 46, Kemp 44 | Abrams +2 |
| New York Governor – Democratic Primary | Siena | Cuomo 60, Nixon 29 | Cuomo +31 |
| Delaware Senate – Republican Primary | Gravis | Arlett 19, Tuono 15, de la Fuente 7 | Arlett +4 |
Source….
Ohio 12CD race IS a toss-up with a MOE
via twitter…….
PublicPolicyPolling
@ppppolls
PublicPolicyPolling Retweeted Nathaniel Rakich
O’Connor is up 47-46 among 88% of likely voters *certain* to vote. Balderson up 67-26 among 12% *probable* to vote. Democrats definitely have enthusiasm edge (backed up by early vote numbers in addition to this poll), just a question of whether it will be quite enough.
Pew Research: “Over the course of an eventful first 18 months in office, President Trump’s approval ratings have remained remarkably stable. There has also been a wider gap between Republicans’ and Democrats’ views of Trump than for any other U.S. president in the modern era of polling.”
“Four-in-ten Americans approve of Trump’s job performance while 54% say they disapprove, according to a Pew Research Center survey in June. Trump’s approval ratings have hardly moved in surveys conducted by the Center this year, and his current rating is nearly identical to the 39% who said they approved of his performance in February 2017, shortly after his inauguration.”
Politicalwire…
Nate Silver
One of the more underappreciated aspects of modern U.S. politics is that the incumbency advantage is a *lot* smaller than it once was say 20 years ago, at least for members of Congress.
….
This helps to explain why many, many districts are in play in the House, despite increased polarization. There aren’t nearly as many swingy, say, R +3 districts as there once were. But before, a strong R incumbent in that district might have been relatively safe. Now, maybe not…..
Arizona U.S. Senate
http://cgpolitics.blogspot.com/2018/08/arizona-us-senate-race-of-day.html