Donald Trump is out there earning travel miles on Air Force One….
Why?
Why the noise and attacks on the media and others?
Maybe Mike Allen of Axios thinks it’s Trump’s attempt to counter the increasing view that the Democrats ARE forming a ‘wave’ vote that would get them back the leadership of the House and maybe even the Senate?
He thinks he can do what he did back in November 2016….
Carry an election all by himself….
Of course the Russians will probably be trying to help him AGAIN….
His problem will be his daily twitter miscues…..
Republican officials have started calling the midterms the “Barbell Election.”
The big picture: A House Republican aide explains that Trump’s approval ratings are like barbells: bulging favorables and unfavorables on each end, and few in the middle who have no opinion or are persuadable. “Those unfav folks are coming out,” the official said. “It’s so, so crucial to get those base voters.”
Sure, I think they are.
As an earlier post emphasized,Trumps support has remained remarkably stable since his election actually.
Doesnt gain much,doesn’t lose much
These “rallies” are simply events where he can expound on his hates, prejudices and enemies …all of which coincide with the essential worldview of his followers.As such these mass meetings serve the purpose of rallying the faithful for the upcoming elections.
At the same time,as the election draws nearer, it will be interesting to see if he continues with them( has indicated he will) and the degree to which individual Republican officeholders and candidates appear,particularly in competitive races.
There ARE reports from polling that more educated Republicans, suburban and those Obama voters that went for Trump COULD migrate back to Democrats across the country…
If a Democrat could get elected to the Senate from the South?
Absent a terrible candidate?
Trump IS Right to be flying around the country preaching….
There are “ reports” of lots of things.
As to The Alabama election?I wouldn’t see that as predictive of anything. Moore was such a horrible candidate that even usually Republican voters couldn’t stomach him.If Strange had won the primary he would have won easily.
A real indication of whether Republicans have real problems in the south will be in the Governors race in Georgia and the Senate race in Tennessee.If Democrats win those ,then one can make an argument that the Republican hold on Dixie may be suffering some real cracks.The Alabama anomaly however can’t be used to indicate that.
I agree that Moore was a give away…
But the loss nevertheless was instructive…..
Yes more is needed to be seen…
If the Texas US Senate was a surprise Dem WIN I think we’d all be seeing the second coming in politics, eh?
The Ohio special election on Tuesday will be interesting. It’s a district that Republicans should be winning without breaking a sweat in a long time swing state that went to Trump by a bigger margin than Georgia or Arizona.
OH-12 is turning into a media event for sure….
Oh, Snap!
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
Turnout is always ‘key,’ but it may be particularly important in OH-12:
–I am not aware of a poll that shows O’Connor in the lead in OH-12.
–But I am aware of three polls that show O’Connor leading among those who have already voted or say they definitely will vote
(Could be good?…Might not matter like other races where the early vote got overwhelmed by the voting day’s vote…)
Another Update on the OH-12 CD….
“The entire Republican Party machinery has converged on this suburban Columbus district for a furious eleventh-hour campaign aimed at saving a conservative House seat and averting another special election disaster,” Politico reports.
“But in the final days ahead of Tuesday’s election, signs were everywhere that Democrats are surging — from recent polling to the private and public statements of many Republicans, including the GOP candidate himself. The district has been reliably red for more than three decades, but the sheer size of the Republican cavalry made clear how worried the party is about losing it.”
Politico…
Trump had endorsed challenger Kobach for governor instead of incumbent Colyers. It is extremely rare for a president to endorse a challenger in a gubernatorial race. What makes it more surprising us that Colyers has been a Trump supporter – and even remained silent when Trump attacked Wichita’s Koch family. Colyers is believed to be a stronger candidate than Kobach, but the recent Trump sndorsement will likely make Kobach the winner of Tuesday’s primary. Assuming Kobach wins, Democrats now have a real shot in this race in deep red Kansas.