All the media reports of Donald Trump’s financial, political and Russian problems/scandals are having an effect on the Republican ‘brand’….
Oh, Yea?
There is an election coming up in less than 4 months….
The Trump administration’s scandals threaten to take a toll on Republicans in battleground districts this fall, according to new polling suggesting “culture of corruption” messaging is gaining traction.
Fifty-four percent of voters across 48 Republican-held congressional districts said Republicans are “more corrupt” than Democrats, compared with 46 percent who said Democrats are “more corrupt.”
According to the online survey of 1,200 registered voters, conducted July 2-5, an even higher number of independents hold Republicans responsible for corruption: 60 percent.
Those are welcome numbers to Democrats who have struggled to find their messaging in the run-up to the midterms. In May, the party signaled an effort to tap the “culture of corruption” theme that proved an effective mantra in 2006, when GOP Capitol Hill scandals helped Democrats regain control of the House and Senate.
“The fact that you have these recurring Cabinet scandals, the fact that it keeps happening over and over again, it registers,” said Jesse Lee, spokesman for the Center for American Progress, a progressive policy group behind the poll. “People understand it’s been taken to a new level. There’s no check on it anymore. Trump isn’t pushing back on Congress to keep it under control. Congress isn’t pushing back on Trump.”
Democratic Socialist Dave says
That’s close to absurd; the margin is essentially even — 54% (a little more than half) in these 48 CD’s believe that Republicans are more corrupt than Democrats, while 46% (a little less than half) believe that Democrats are more corrupt than Republicans.
I haven’t seen the margin of error for this on-line poll four months before the election, but if you assume that it’s no more than +/- 4%, then the actual margin if you accurately polled everyone who will vote in these districts could fall anywhere between 58-42 and 50-50.
Now corruption might be a worthwhile issue to raise in a few target sectors, for example those independents who consider Republicans to be more corrupt by a margin of 3-2 (60%-40%), but it’s not a promising argument to the general electorate for either party.
jamesb says
So this you feel is actually good numbers for BOTH parties?
jamesb says
The sad thing is that Republicans are looking past the crazy stuff Trump and their party lawmakers are doing…..
Of course that is why Trump can keep going
With his covering his ass kiss up to Putin.
Democratic Socialist Dave says
Not really; just that they are too inconclusive to be good or bad for either party.
Zreebs says
Dave, The only thing I think you are missing from your analysts is that this is a survey from 48 Republican-held districts. So the sample itself is weighted more heavily to Republicans.