The latest poll has the margin down to the MOE with Scott ahead in numbers….
Republican Governor Scott seems to only squeak by in his recent wins….
Outspent by nearly 3-1, Sen. Bill Nelson (D-Fla.) is trailing Gov. Rick Scott by a marginal 3 percentage points in a new poll of what could be the most expensive U.S. Senate race in history.
Scott leads Nelson 47-44 percent in the Mason-Dixon Polling & Research survey, a net shift of about 4 points in the Republican’s favor since the firm’s last poll in February when the race was a dead heat. The margin of error for the poll of 625 registered Florida voters is plus or minus 4 percentage points. The poll was conducted July 24-25.
Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker said he wouldn’t be shocked if the race got tighter and that it remains too close to call on Election Day.
“It’s going to be a slugfest,” Coker said. “Nelson is hoping for a blue wave, and Scott is counting on Trump motivating his base of voters. Rick Scott has yet to have a landslide win. So I don’t anticipate him winning by a big amount if he does win.”
Indeed, Scott won each of his last two statewide races by 1 percentage point in favorable Republican years. Nelson has won three terms in the Senate, but usually against weak opponents in favorable years for Democrats.
One of the biggest changes in the race since February: pro-Scott money. And lots of it….