Donald Trump and his trusted assistant Stephen Miller would have you believe that Mexicans are storming the US Southern Border….
They may be coming across….
But the numbers have dropped by about 7% for both illegal and legals….
The number of legals has dropped by about 9%….
As Mexico’s economy has gotten better?
Less of their people head to America….
Also….
Of course a good many are sent back and some actually go back voluntarily….
Despite some of its regions being mired in a horrifically violent drug war, Mexico’s economy has grown robustly — the country’s per capita gross domestic product, valued at purchasing power parity, is now about $19,500, higher than China’s. Mexico’s fertility rate has also fallen to 2.24 children per woman, just slightly more than the replacement rate of 2.1 — that means people need to stay home to take care of aging parents and take over family businesses, instead of going north to work.
Because of the end of mass Mexican migration, the illegal immigration Trump is upset about is coming almost entirely from Central America. Because of violence, political instability and unpromising economic prospects, an increasing number of people from the so-called Northern Triangle countries of El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras have been making the perilous trek north through Mexico, seeking refuge and work in the U.S.
Central America, and the Northern Triangle in particular, has picked up where Mexico left off. As the Mexican-born population has fallen, the Central American-born population has risen by almost the exact same amount…
…
…..both El Salvador and Guatemala have passed the $8,000 per person level, at which point higher GDP tends to reduce emigration. In other words, continued economic growth will make migration from El Salvador and Guatemala shrink from now on. Honduras still has a way to go, but is making steady progress.
So there is every reason to believe that the Central American immigration wave has peaked, and will now start to decline, just like Mexico’s did a decade earlier. Meanwhile, even now the number coming in is small compared to the number of Mexicans who came to the U.S. in the 1990s and 2000s.
In other words, although the issue of children at the border presents a moral crisis, Central American immigration is not at a crisis level overall, nor likely to become so. Trump is spreading alarm over a phenomenon that will probably dwindle away from now on. The problem of unaccompanied children at the border is a problem, and one that Trump will hopefully handle better in the future. But the U.S. isn’t in danger of being inundated by Central Americans….
The Republican line will be that the Mexicans are now afraid to try to cross the border because of Trumps tougher policies.
This issue is never going to be conceded by the Republicans.
It’s necessary to keep their base riled up.
It’s like “voting fraud.”It doesn’t matter to Republicans that it’s so rare that it’s not even worthy of much attention.They will still be talking about it if there is just one case.Once again,it isn’t the issue itself,it’s for the sole purpose of keeping the base stirred up.
True Jack…..
Heck CBP and HHS can’handle what they have now with Sessions dropping policy stuff on them every week….
No wonder DHS has disregarded the zero-tolerance policy
Yep – good post
Rughtwing nuts?
Dave, This is a test for your superior translating skills. You have come through before, but I fear you have met your match. Tune in tomorrow (same bat time, same bat channel) to see if Batman is able to escape from Burgess Meredith!
A little bit too dramatic. Maybe it is because so am still half asleep in which I just had a bad dream in which I couldn’t figure out some government requirement and I needed someone to help me understand if.
This isn’t a correction, James, but a question: are you referring to the Dept of Homeland Security (DHS) or the Department of Health and Human Services, often abbreviated to either HHS or DHHS ?
Of course (even without intending it), you could be referring to both, since Homeland Security apparently refers all those incoming kids to Health & Human Services.
DHS – Dept. of Homeland Security
HHS – Health and Humsn Serviced
I know that, James — in fact that’s what I was saying.
But to whom were you referring when you wrote:
“Heck CBP and HHS can’handle what they have now with Sessions dropping policy stuff on them every week….”
Rightwingnuts…..
Certainly NOT YOU…..
Excuse me DSD….
My apologies …..
The computer and me made a mistake the question you posed…
I CERTAINLY feel and see the CBP and HHS CANNOT handle what they have going now….
Children lost in the system…
Sessiosn’s and Miller allow to whipsaw those agencies along with ICE with a political agenda that is the basic cause of this….
Again…
The comment WAS aimed at rightwing nuts….
Just let it go James.
You’ve already made a fool out of. Yourself,a daily occurrence I might add.
Yes it’s the “computers” fault.
Good God.