“A polarizing president electrifies the opposition party going into his first midterm election, raising the party’s hopes that it can reclaim governorships, ram through major policy change at the state level and redraw legislative lines in its favor for a decade to come,” the New York Times reports.
“It’s a scenario both political parties have seen before, most recently in 2010, when out-of-power Republicans rode the Tea Party-led wave against the Obama administration to smashing victories across the country.”
“This year, governors in both parties acknowledged at the National Governors Association conference here, it is Democrats who appear poised to make major gains as Republicans brace for a backlash against President Trump that could lead to grievous statehouse losses.”….
Politicalwire…
There are years when governorships are really running on their own state-by-state alteranating cycle (usually a two-term, 8-year one).
While I’ve forgotten the details, there were swings both ways in 2002, when few state parties hang on to the governorship and a majority of the seats flipped parties, regardless of which one happened to be in the White House or hold a Congressional majority. (I think that in 2002, only 5 state parties hung on to a governorship out of about 38 up for election.)
I am six days away from starting my “Race of the Day” which will kick off “coverage” on my blog that will last all the way until Election Day, for the final 100 days. Try to contain the excitement.
Actually,I always found them informative.
Why not post them here as well?
Might liven the place up a little.
I intend to link them here as they are posted, although I may not be able to do so daily. Thanks.
Let me know if you want me to feature your daily here at the PDog….
While Trump seldom follows thru on actions against other countries?
The tarifff action COULD have a effect around the planet…
More from Silver….
I’d argue that a decline from ~28/29% of voters identifying as Republican to ~25/26% is not trivial, especially given that 28/29% is not too high to begin with. I’d also guess that those ex-Republicans have pretty lukewarm feelings on Trump…..
….
Basically, the headlines about Trump approval being super high among Republicans imply there are a core group of voters who *never* desert Trump. But that isn’t necessarily the case. Party identification is fluid. Trump approvers will join the party; disapprovers will leave.
His contouring point is that Trump support is fluid and actually DECLINING….
As is historically the story ?
Democratic reaction to Trump’s action SHOULD produce gains with Democrats in the midterm and 2020 elections votes….
Trump maybe juicing up his base…
But THAT is losing preposition if Nate Silver is correct….
It will be where the loses are
Where Democrats get the Obama voters they lost in 2016…and 2010 and 2012
Some conservatives are fuming that Baker is too far left
He has signed a bill boosting the minimum wage to one of the highest in the nation and creating a paid leave program by raising taxes — and still others strengthening gun control, reforming the criminal justice system, enshrining protections for pregnant workers, defending transgender people from discrimination, and ensuring free access to birth control.
This week, he’s poised to put a law on the books securing a woman’s right to choose an abortion in case Roe v. Wade gets overturned.
Such a record would be pretty good fodder for a Democrat running for office.
But all these measures were signed by Governor Charlie Baker…..
More….