Politico is out with poll they did with Morniung Consult 2 1/2 years from election day 2020….
With the asumption that Donald Trump would still be in office and running for a second term?
We get some bad news for the guy….(and Republicans in general)
The 2020 presidential election is still two and a half years away, but President Donald Trump’s path to a second term is littered with roadblocks, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll.
Just 36 percent of voters say they would vote for Trump over a generic Democratic candidate in 2020, compared with 44 percent who would pick the Democrat, the poll shows. One in five voters, 20 percent, are undecided.
Trump has trouble on the homefront, too. Despite the conventional wisdom that the president is wildly popular with the GOP base, the poll also shows a desire among a healthy slice of Republicans — though a distinct minority — for a challenger to run against Trump for the nomination.
While the poll suggests Trump is being buffeted on all sides, he may be stronger than the data suggest. On Election Day 2016, only 38 percent of voters had a favorable opinion of the then-GOP candidate, according to exit polls. More than three in five voters, 61 percent, said he wasn’t qualified to be president.
But at least against a nameless Democrat, Trump trails by 8 percentage points. That’s largely a result of relative weakness among Republican voters, and a deficit among independents.
While 86 percent of Democratic voters would support the Democratic candidate, 79 percent of GOP voters would vote for Trump. Among independents, the Democratic candidate has an 8-point lead, 36 percent to 28 percent — an advantage that’s only barely statistically significant given the larger margin of sampling error for subgroups.
Still, it’s not clear Republicans are better off with an alternative candidate. A generic Democrat has a 13-point lead against a generic Republican….