A new poll says yes….
A majority of adults who will be old enough to vote in 2018 say they are planning to, according to a poll released Wednesday conducted by AP-NORC and MTV. When asked to rate their likelihood on a scale of 1-10 (with 10 being “certain to vote”), 56% rated their likelihood at a 6 or above. Thirty-two percent said they were absolutely “certain to vote.”
The study, taken among people ages 15-34 (with questions about voting asked only among those who would be able to), found the group highly motivated by the political environment. Forty percent said they felt extremely or very angry about the state of the country and 36% said they felt anxious. Only 13% said they felt positive, with 9% saying they were excited about the state of the country.
When asked, “how much can people like you affect what the government does,” a majority (62%) said “a little” or “not at all.” Only 13% said people like them can affect the government “a great deal” or “a lot” and 24% responded with “a moderate amount.”…
…
This group of upcoming or current adults is less Republican than the country as a whole. A plurality in the poll (34%) consider themselves Democrats, while 26% say they are independents and 19% say they are Republicans…..
More…
I’d have to look at the exact wording and sequence of the questions, but I suspect a significant percentage of those who think they’ll be able to vote this year will learn in fact that they were unregistered (where pre-registration is required) or don’t have the ability to meet Voter ID requirements even if they are registered.
I believe they already have shown up in greater numbers than before for the special elections held so far this year.
I do not know how that would be determined, without exit polls, which the special elections did not have.
We do know that young Democrat types were far less into voting in the 2010 and 2014 midterms then they were in the Presidential election years.